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研究用任务模型估算 AI 对科研进展速度的影响

We explore scenarios for how AI might affect the overall rate of scientific progress across different fields, relying on a standard task-...

摘要

Peter McCrory 等人用基于任务的研发进展模型,探讨 AI 可能如何影响不同领域的整体科研进展速度。结果显示,若现有 AI 能力被广泛采用,部分领域的研究产出可能翻倍。

摘要由模型根据原文撰写,以原文为准。

正文 · 原文

We explore scenarios for how AI might affect the overall rate of scientific progress across different fields, relying on a standard task-based model of R&D progress.

We find that if existing AI capabilities are widely adopted, they could double research output in some fields.

来源:Peter McCrory · x.com

引用原文

PeterMcCrory. We explore scenarios for how AI might affect the overall rate of scientific progress across different fields, relying on a standard task-...[EB/OL]. (2026-11-07)[访问日期]. https://x.com/PeterMcCrory/status/2118820038241296882.